If this holds, Stephen Harper gets his pink slip on October 19

… and joins the ranks of unemployed prime ministers. Today (October 8) the CBC Poll Tracker shows the Liberal Party with the most seats for the very first time:Pause for a moment, all you progressives out there, and give three... Read More

KCCCC Day 67: Dear Mr. Coyne

   Andrew Coyne has a column in this morning’s paper. It basically takes the position that what Stephen Harper is doing on values was done before by Dalton McGuinty. You can read it here. Among other things, he is wrong. Three reasons. ... Read More

Abacus Oct 7: Liberal Surge in Ontario strengthening

Latest Abacus poll confirms surge of the Liberal Party continues in Battleground Ontario:Ontarians want a new government, that will handle the economy well, develop infrastructure, provide good governance, and act with decency.We will all get that kind of government on... Read More

KCCCC Day 66: In this week’s Hill Times – the NDP are losing, and why

   The NDP seems to be losing. How come? By the time you read this, their barrage of anti-Trudeau attack ads may have put them back in contention. And perhaps Thomas Mulcair had a good showing in that final French-language... Read More

In this week’s Hill Times: the NDP are losing – and why

The NDP seems to be losing. How come? By the time you read this, their barrage of anti-Trudeau attack ads may have put them back in contention. And perhaps Thomas Mulcair had a good showing in that final French-language debate,... Read More

The Signal Oct 6: Tories 132 seats; Liberals 132 seats; NDP 71 seats

Trudeau has led his Liberal Party to a forecasted number of MPs equal to those that Harper’s tired Conservatives might elect: 132 MPs each.With neither the CPC nor the LPC having a majority of seats (170 MPs), this result would... Read More

Tonight: come meet a great Prime Minister – and I’ll be there, too, to serve you dinner

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KCCCC Day 65: vast swaths of italicized text, plus a slide you need to see

  Lots to cover this morning.  So let’s get to it! First off, I’ve got a column in the latest edition of Post City.  Here it is, in bulleted and italicized bits, but it’s here too. “Toronto is the centre... Read More

Another 4 LPC seats and Harper resigns on October 19

The Poll Tracker for October 5 shows the steady surge of Liberal Party votes, and translates the various polls into a national seat projection. Harper told Peter Mansbridge that if the Conservatives won one seat less than any other party,... Read More

Why Is Kathleen Wynne Running So Hard For LPC?

Because the Ontario Pension Plan is dead otherwise.  Harper has already said he won’t cooperate. That means Ontario can’t piggy-back everything onto the CPC, then pay the feds a cut to use their infrastructure and manage the money.  Ontario would... Read More

TPP, and the next two weeks of #Elxn42

Trans-Pacific Partnership Trade Deal Is Reached, via @nytimes #cdnpoli http://t.co/OVinKfZYWD — Warren Kinsella (@kinsellawarren) October 5, 2015 In 1988, an entire election was fought on trade. In 2015, I’d be willing to bet that a majority of Canadians didn’t even... Read More

KCCCC Day 64: confirming confirmation bias

  Do you know what confirmation bias is? I’m certain you do, because all of my readers are smart.  But here it is again, for those who need a refresher: “In psychology and cognitive science, confirmation bias (or confirmatory bias) is... Read More

Who is the Change Agent in Canada’s election? It’s no contest, really

Mulcair has only two weeks to reverse a dramatic reversal in the minds of voters of just who, in an election where about 70% of the voters want a change, bears the Change mantel.Harper is an also-ran in the Who... Read More

Trudeau’s Message to Conservative Supporters

Today Justin Trudeau had a message for supporters of the Conservative Party that should resonate all the way up to the close of the polls on election night October 19:But I want you to keep something in mind. Always. In... Read More

“I want my country back”

Commonly seen in the Twitterverse and in online comments responding to the latest Harper Conservative “outrage” is the phrase “I want my country back”. This is immediately dismissed by the Conservatives and supporters as a meaningless expression by ‘leftards’, malcontents,... Read More

Red Tide moves towards Liberals in Quebec and in Ontario, says Nanos poll

The latest Nanos tracking poll for Sunday October 4 is very good news indeed!  Please make sure everyone you know who wants change on October 19 gets a copy of this and also shares it with all their friends.Here’s the... Read More

KCCCC Day 63: three bullets for you to ponder

   Threw a surprise birthday party for the missus last night. Lots of amazing folks in attendance, including our impressive local Liberal candidate. Lots of politics discussed. Here’s what I had to say, as said by others.  Bullet one: What Benjamin... Read More

Liberals surge to 43% in Battleground Ontario says Nanos

Here’s the Nanos latest poll:Nanos Nightly Election Tracking Highlights (3-day tracking ending October 2) – Federal Liberals trend up for last two nights of Nanos trackingNational Ballot – In the latest Nanos tracking completed Friday evening the Liberals had 34.6%... Read More

The Signal for Oct 3: Non-Tory seats 202, Tory seats 134 Result? New government

If you have not bookmarked The Signal for your daily fix of the poll of polls, then do so immediately, and tell your friends to do so as well. As of today, October 3, a change of government on October... Read More

KCCCC Day 62: about that debate, and rabbit tracks

  Based on the number of comments, and based on the amount of coverage, I don’t think a lot of people paid attention to that final debate last night.  My hunch? Joe and Jane Frontporch are sick of this election.  They want... Read More